Stock Market Today: Stocks slump with jobs data, Fed rate cuts in focus

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Check back for updates throughout the trading dayU.S. stocks moved lower in early Tuesday trading, while Treasury bonds and the dollar nudged higher, as investors looked to a cautious start to the traditionally challenging month of September with a focus on the job market. Updated at 10:07 AM EDTManufacturing boostThe Institute for Supply Management's benchmark survey of manufacturing activity showed modest improvement in August, but remains firmly in contraction territory for a fifth consecutive month.The index's headline reading eased to 47.2, up from 46.8 in July (an eight-month low) but just inside the Street's 47.5 consensus forecast.Stocks extended their early slump, with the Dow down 445 points and the S&P 500 down 65 points, or 1.15% Benchmark 10-year notes extended their really, falling to 3.833%, with 3-year notes trading at 3.855%.

Source: ISM

Updated at 9:52 AM EDTSlumping openThe S&P 500 was marked 47 points lower, or 0.83%, in the opening minutes of trading while the Nasdaq fell 195 points, or 1.1%.The Dow was marked 305 points lower, while the Russell 2000 fell 13 points, or 0.64%Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes extended their early rally, taking the yield to 3.844%, while 2-year notes were pegged at 3.881% following a modest downward revision to S&P Global's August manufacturing activity reading. S&P 500 Opening Bell Heatmap (Sept. 03, 2024)$SPY -0.63%?$QQQ -0.89%?$DJI -0.48%?$IWM -0.52%? pic.twitter.com/5WPKYB8iNc— Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) September 3, 2024

Stock Market Today Stocks closed out August with only muted gains, with investors moving out of growth and tech stocks into the safer confines of Treasury bonds and dividend stocks heading into the autumn. The tech-focused Nasdaq, in fact, is now down 0.11% over the third quarter, having notched a modest 0.6% gain in August following an underwhelming second quarter earnings report from star AI-chip maker Nvidia  (NVDA) . Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 booked decent August advances, with the latter now up 3.44% for the quarter, thanks in part to the rotation into safety that characterized the final trading weeks. Wall Street's focus will shift clearly and firmly to the economy this week. Key data on growth in the manufacturing sector are due today at 10 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time and a series of readings on the job market are slated to begin Wednesday as investors look to cement the timing and pace of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. 

Markets will shift focus to the job market this week as they look to cement the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts over the final four months of the year.Olivier Douliery/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Labor Department's nonfarm-payrolls report is due Friday, with economists expecting a gain of around 160,000 new jobs and a modest tick lower in the headline unemployment rate to 4.2%.CME Group's FedWatch suggests traders have locked in bets on a Fed rate cut later this month in Washington, with the odds of an outsized 50-basis-point reduction pegged at around 33%.Only six S&P 500 companies are expected to report second quarter earnings this week, including tech-equipment maker Broadcom  (AVGO) , Dick's Sporting Goods  (DKS) , Hewlett Packard Enterprise  (HPE)  and grocery chain Kroger  (KR)  to close out the reporting season.Related: Fed rate cuts may not guarantee a September stock market rallySecond-quarter-earnings growth has been solid, with collective profits rising 13% from a year earlier to a share-weighted $503.4 billion, paced by the tech and communications sectors. Earnings growth for the current quarter, which will begin reporting next month, is forecast at around 5.7%, with collective profits of around $513.1 billion, according to LSEG data.Heading into the start of the trading day on Wall Street, and the final month of the third quarter, futures contracts tied to the S&P 500 suggest a 32-point opening bell decline, while those linked to the Dow are priced for a 228-point pullback from last week's record close.The Nasdaq, meanwhile, is called 160 points lower, with Nvidia, Apple  (AAPL) and Amazon  (AMZN)  trading in the red. U.S. Steel  (X)  shares were an active early mover, falling 7.7% in the premarket to $34.98 following comments from Vice President Kamala Harris that suggested she would not support the steel group's $14.1 billion takeover by Japan's Nippon Steel. In the bond market, benchmark 10-year Treasury note yields were marked 1 basis point lower from last Friday's close at 3.907% while 2-year notes were pegged at 3.927%.More Wall Street Analysts:Analysts reboot Grand Theft Auto maker's stock price targetAmerican Express stock analyst flags concerning shift in consumer behaviorAnalyst resets Nvidia stock price target before earningsIn overseas markets, European stocks were drifting lower as investors eyed U.S. futures and the spate of jobs data this week, with the Stoxx 600 down 0.26% and Britain's FTSE down 0.4%.Overnight in Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 ended 0.04% lower in Tokyo, while the MSCI Asia ex-Japan benchmark slipped 0.51% into the close of trading. Related: Veteran fund manager sees world of pain coming for stocks

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